Law Outlines Contracts (Duke Gulati) Outlines
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In 2007, a country, ruled by dictator not representative, borrowed $700 million 30 yrs, 12% interest rate, from 18 of the biggest international banks. Revolution in 2012, dictator overthrown, do the new government need to paid back? At the time contract signed, there were rumors about revolutions. – similar to Iraq debt. Countries can’t go bankrupt (they can’t sell out all their parts.)
Precedent: Williams
Absence of reasonable choice: People in Iraq don’t know what they’re buying. People don’t have the choice of not entering into the contract.
Reasonbleness of the terms: creditors know that there might be a revolution, so they ask for higher rates, this can be reasonable.
Lenders are in a better position to avoid this problem; they priced it into their rates.
Sovereign Debt Article by Gulati
Key ideas:
Finances countries, keeps the world economy going
Unforgiving of mistakes, no real formal bankruptcy processes, need to instead get the creditors on board
Affects everyone
Why repay?
Establish reputation as trustworthy debtor
National honor
Prevent diplomatic fiction
Difficult to enforce?
States are sovereign, their assets are not usually able to be seized, can’t really force into bankruptcy and liquidate assets
Key debates
Vulture creditors
Odious debts (from despotic government unrelated to the welfare of the state)
Financing of distasteful regimes – do loans basically allow dictators to get legitimacy and stay in office? (think financing during apartheid)
Unique Features of Sovereign Debt
Intergenerational tensions – those who borrow aren’t always those who pay it back
Government officials as agents – are the governments truly agents of their people? Can you be an agent of future generations?
Mixed motivations of certain lenders
Some motivations: geopolitical influence, stimulating exports, locking in access to natural resources, without really expecting to be paid back on time
No formal bankruptcy mechanism
Creditors don’t have to worry about the debtor running to the protection of bankruptcy laws
No way to force dissident creditors to go along with a settlement
Completely exposed to creditor lawsuits, because cannot protect themselves
Sovereign debtor as defendant
Gulati’s article: exit consents in sovereign bond exchanges
Exit consent: seek the consent of this supermajority of bondholders to amend provisions in the bonds in order to render those old bonds less attractive to any bondholder who may be thinking of declining the exchange and staying behind.
Payment terms: currency, interests, dates, methods of payment - high vote to change
Non payment terms: pari passu, negative pledge, waiver of sovereign immunity - low vote
Administrative terms: no vote
How to force people to agree to the modification? The alternative must be worse
If I can only get 51% and modify nonpayment terms, I give 51% a new bonds that pay less, but with a lot of protections, when 51% give me the old bond, 51% vote on the old bond, remove the contract protections (nonpayment terms such as the pari passu clause) a disincentive for the old bond holders to holdout.
Katz: if you don’t tender, you get 100%: duty between the investors and issuers.
Assenagon: if you don’t tender, you get nothing: duties among the bond holders.
Criticism:
coercion (prisoner’s dilemma): exit consent encouragers the prospective holdout creditor to accept an offer that the holdout may not, except for the prospect of being left with a bond stripped of important prospective covenants, have otherwise found attractive.
Counterargument:
exit consents in the benign way (to keep holdouts from disrupting an offer that is in the best interest of the issuer and the...
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